Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.067946 0.078959 0.091013 0.105161 0.121288 0.139071 0.160140
2025-02-02 0.052854 0.067787 0.085606 0.108332 0.136435 0.169928 0.212737
2025-02-09 0.039522 0.055440 0.075967 0.104151 0.141574 0.189258 0.254261
2025-02-16 0.031203 0.047450 0.069910 0.102816 0.149300 0.212030 0.302358
2025-02-23 0.024677 0.040444 0.063679 0.099794 0.153732 0.230330 0.346075
2025-03-02 0.019987 0.035114 0.058756 0.097536 0.158430 0.248935 0.391650
2025-03-09 0.017046 0.031902 0.056387 0.098532 0.167716 0.274738 0.449886
2025-03-16 0.014001 0.027892 0.052009 0.095510 0.170044 0.289830 0.492903
2025-03-23 0.012720 0.026745 0.052214 0.100022 0.184957 0.325909 0.572004
2025-03-30 0.011116 0.024677 0.050430 0.100724 0.193314 0.351868 0.636729
2025-04-06 0.009415 0.022082 0.047245 0.098367 0.195865 0.368058 0.686217
2025-04-13 0.008074 0.019968 0.044637 0.096674 0.199282 0.385830 0.739650
2025-04-20 0.007545 0.019562 0.045455 0.101910 0.216519 0.430198 0.844754
2025-04-27 0.007007 0.019035 0.045949 0.106560 0.233146 0.474984 0.954521
2025-05-04 0.005922 0.016984 0.042829 0.103224 0.233486 0.489292 1.009121
2025-05-11 0.005168 0.015593 0.040957 0.102297 0.238585 0.513070 1.083491
2025-05-18 0.004410 0.014026 0.038412 0.099488 0.239334 0.528246 1.142299
2025-05-25 0.003801 0.012726 0.036291 0.097336 0.241198 0.545708 1.206870
2025-06-01 0.003431 0.012028 0.035561 0.098381 0.250247 0.578630 1.305081
2025-06-08 0.002933 0.010829 0.033323 0.095390 0.249687 0.591193 1.362195
2025-06-15 0.002792 0.010722 0.034014 0.099910 0.267216 0.644047 1.507836
2025-06-22 0.002524 0.010137 0.033280 0.100618 0.275647 0.677602 1.614630
2025-06-29 0.002191 0.009242 0.031498 0.098267 0.276294 0.693798 1.684867